415,000 commercial drones in the skies of Europe in 2050

Agriculture, energy, e-commerce, transport and public services, they are 400,000 civilian drones that will provide commercial services in Europe by 2050, compared to 7 million drones of leisure. It’s one of the findings of the large European study “SESAR Drones Outlook Study”. European experts estimate that this market will represent a turnover in the order of EUR 10 billion in 2035 and 15 billion euros in 2050. A manna that Europe must not let go at the hands of American companies or off-Union relying on research. The authors of the report estimates it will inject 200 million euros in R & D over the next 5-10 years to come to meet the expectations of this market.

No transport of passengers by drones before 2030/2050

SESAR (Single European Sky ATM Research), it is the major European research programme launched in 2004 in order to prepare the future of European air traffic in the single sky. Addition to prepare aviation regulations, this funding many projects of study and research, such as drones. The 2016 edition of its investigation of the UAV market reveals that 400,000 commercial drones will be operating over Europe in 2050. 100,000 to between – them will be operated by the actors of the agricultural sector, 10,000 by the energy industry for monitoring facilities and power lines, 50.000 for surveillance purposes, either through law enforcement, fire, and emergency preparedness.

By 2050, the fleet of drones in Europe will consist of about 3,000 military drones, 415,000 7 million drones of leisure and commercial drones.(Source: Sesar)

If the study briefly referred to the possible emergence of beyond 2030 passenger transport drones, authors does not quantify the impact of these drones and believe that societal brakes are still very important and major technical developments and regulatory before passengers embark on an Airbus and a Boeing unmanned. In the meantime, the transport of goods by light drones should democratize widely on the continent. The report evokes 100,000 drones of delivery that will be used as part of e-commerce services ‘Premium’ or for delivering drugs in urgent ways.

Europe must develop a control system of traffic for drones

Such a deployment will require the implementation of new means of the air traffic management below the 150 m of altitude, the current ceiling for civilian drones. Members of the SESAR evoke the setting up of a system of European air traffic control for drones, the UTM (for Unmanned aircraft Traffic Management system) which will require an effort in R & D in the order of EUR 100 million over 5 to 10 years, a sum that corresponds to the overseas effort in this area. The report still 100 million to adapt the technologies being developed by the SESAR for traditional air traffic for the specificities of the drones.
Beyond this will of the SESAR regulate commercial drones flights and do not leave players such as Google, Facebook and Amazon impose their technical solutions beyond the will to get new financing from the European Union (extension of 200 M€!), the report points to the gap between the funds available in the United States to finance startups in the field of drones the means used by China in this conquest of the UAV market and the resources available to the European startups. Despite the success of Parrot, European investors don’t have injected that EUR 100 million in the sector where the Americans invested 500 million euros, while the Chinese DJI would have lifted between 100 and 500 million euros alone.

If Europe manages to take this turn to the drone, the experts expect the creation of 110,000 jobs in this sector for a direct and indirect economic impact far more important. It should be between 27 and 43 billion euros, or between 250,000 and 400,000 new jobs. It is high time to dedemonize the drone on the old continent!
Translation : Bing Translator
Source : “SESAR Drones Outlook Study”, 2016 edition

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